Long-Term Pick
Subscribe
Sign in
Home
Notes
LTP Portfolio Manifest
Archive
About
analysis
Latest
Top
Discussions
Credo: 50% Consensus Growth for 24x Earnings
Revenue grew 115% last quarter, and the company raised its growth outlook for the year. The stock is down 15% since the report.
Sep 18
•
Dan
6
4
Adobe: The Cheapest Software Giant on the Market
A software giant with 1 billion users trades at 9.4x earnings. The market might be pricing the wrong story.
Sep 15
•
Dan
8
2
Uber: 27% Consensus Growth for 20x Earnings
The market is busy pricing the robotaxi threat. Meanwhile, the business grew bookings 24% and produced its first $10B year of free cash flow.
Sep 8
•
Dan
14
2
3
First Solar: 21% 5-Year EPS Growth for 11x Forward Earnings
The stock is down 14% this year while quarterly earnings beat estimates by 43%. I looked into whether the market or the earnings are telling the truth.
Aug 25
•
Dan
8
2
3
On Holding: 21.6% Growth for 17x Earnings
The fastest-growing sportswear brand fell 14% in one day. I read the report and I think the market read it wrong.
Aug 18
•
Dan
11
2
4
Reddit: 61% Growth, Priced for 20%
The stock fell 21% on the Q2 print and is down 30% year-to-date while revenue grew 61% for the eighth straight quarter. Here is my full analysis.
Aug 11
•
Dan
11
5
5
Microsoft: 43% Azure Growth, Priced for a Slowdown
The stock is down 11% in a year while Azure accelerated to 43% growth and EPS estimates rose 23%. Here is my full analysis.
Aug 4
•
Dan
15
2
NVIDIA at 21x: The Cheapest AI Leader in Five Years
NVDA is cheaper, relative to earnings, than at any point since 2021. Here is my updated analysis.
Jul 28
•
Dan
15
7
Big Tech's Fear Sale: 5 Giants I'm Buying
Amazon, Microsoft, Meta, Nvidia, and Uber - all trade below their own five-year multiples. Full theses, fair value estimates.
Jul 21
•
Dan
8
2
3
Micron at 6x Earnings: The Most Expensive Mistake
Every value screener in the world is flashing green on MU after a +650% year. Here's why the P/E is lying, and which two metrics tell the truth.
Jul 18
•
Dan
3
7
Quiet Energy Revolution: Companies to Watch
The companies I selected as the most interesting to watch during the energy revolution.
Jul 14
•
Dan
10
6
Quiet Energy Revolution
The market is still pricing energy on yesterday's costs. That gap is the opportunity.
Jul 7
•
Dan
7
2
2
This site requires JavaScript to run correctly. Please
turn on JavaScript
or unblock scripts
